Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 3.946349 4.706474 5.553261 6.563563 7.733018 9.040902 10.610993
2025-08-24 2.853157 3.826490 5.023240 6.590654 8.575648 10.990801 14.134896
2025-08-31 2.188430 3.238734 4.639976 6.619128 9.310488 12.806290 17.646901
2025-09-07 1.713628 2.766436 4.274685 6.547245 9.828276 14.326785 20.877260
2025-09-14 1.315777 2.304995 3.819068 6.239268 9.926850 15.231164 23.303093
2025-09-21 1.082134 2.039733 3.593979 6.210066 10.385532 16.641886 26.522663
2025-09-28 0.900805 1.819584 3.394954 6.176080 10.806894 18.005735 29.758444
2025-10-05 0.824756 1.766995 3.459121 6.567459 11.926934 20.512831 34.911874
2025-10-12 0.732178 1.663915 3.415878 6.762276 12.731550 22.575877 39.516123
2025-10-19 0.665064 1.596767 3.424699 7.043226 13.699806 24.967976 44.810029
2025-10-26 0.576711 1.467404 3.294424 7.047770 14.174570 26.564541 48.897597
2025-11-02 0.478106 1.294499 3.050102 6.799940 14.158661 27.308719 51.586794
2025-11-09 0.395025 1.140834 2.824491 6.566039 14.156575 28.099405 54.461701
2025-11-16 0.342890 1.050462 2.719692 6.563422 14.595054 29.710817 58.894325
2025-11-23 0.299901 0.973427 2.631716 6.583049 15.075453 31.430380 63.634107
2025-11-30 0.257636 0.887850 2.509118 6.508970 15.353588 32.784243 67.786637
2025-12-07 0.209937 0.773827 2.297070 6.201873 15.108681 33.106594 70.021755
2025-12-14 0.182650 0.713750 2.209940 6.172616 15.451663 34.599505 74.573742
2025-12-21 0.158998 0.658659 2.126012 6.138750 15.778127 36.077849 79.184867
2025-12-28 0.153766 0.664249 2.208442 6.528026 17.092482 39.658761 88.150897
2026-01-04 0.141962 0.643724 2.214067 6.721805 17.973387 42.396469 95.584718
2026-01-11 0.133819 0.634506 2.250974 7.001270 19.078425 45.674634 104.292980
2026-01-18 0.118632 0.594041 2.187862 7.005790 19.527564 47.581168 110.296562